Final · Finals 2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
410.68 – 240.13
89%11%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
348 – 242
Prediction correct · off by 32.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 711.3 ±9.9
Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 7.75Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 224.51Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 280.7Event APEX 178.42Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 528.5 ±9.3
Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 98.42Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 35.05Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 106.66Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3568, 5460, 67
83
/ 100 compatProjected
410.7 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 3568, 5460, 67
Auto
93.8 23%
Teleop
220.7 55%
Endgame
89.2 22%
Strengths
- · 5460 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 548, 3632, 5066
83
/ 100 compatProjected
240.1 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 548, 3632, 5066
Auto
44.2 20%
Teleop
135.9 60%
Endgame
46.0 20%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.44 · Blue 0.75
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score410.7pts
Blue projected score240.1pts
Red win probability89%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 58%, blue 49%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 170.6
- Score range
- 212–439
- Upset likelihood
- 11%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
711.3Season APEX528.5
93.8Auto44.2
220.7Teleop135.9
89.2Endgame46
0Consistency60
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 67 | 59 |
| teleop | 155 | 119 |
| endgame | 116 | 64 |
| foul | 10 | 0 |
| total | 348 | 242 |
Result
Final score
348 – 242
Prediction correct · off by 32.3 pts
Match videos
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