Final · Finals 1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
416.94 – 241.43
90%10%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
366 – 229
Prediction correct · off by 31.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 711.3 ±9.9
Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 9.83Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 226.64Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 280.7Event APEX 180.47Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 528.5 ±9.3
Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 98.78Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 35.44Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 107.21Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3568, 5460, 67
82
/ 100 compatProjected
416.9 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 3568, 5460, 67
Auto
100.4 24%
Teleop
226.4 55%
Endgame
83.5 20%
Strengths
- · 5460 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 548, 3632, 5066
82
/ 100 compatProjected
241.4 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 548, 3632, 5066
Auto
43.6 19%
Teleop
137.7 61%
Endgame
45.6 20%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.45 · Blue 0.74
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score416.9pts
Blue projected score241.4pts
Red win probability90%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 58%, blue 49%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 175.5
- Score range
- 214–444
- Upset likelihood
- 10%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
711.3Season APEX528.5
100.4Auto43.6
226.4Teleop137.7
83.5Endgame45.6
0Consistency54
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 46 | 50 |
| teleop | 180 | 120 |
| endgame | 130 | 49 |
| foul | 10 | 10 |
| total | 366 | 229 |
Result
Final score
366 – 229
Prediction correct · off by 31.7 pts
Match videos
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