Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
Rainbow Rumble

Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

325.85 – 237.43

75%25%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

297 – 294

Prediction correct · off by 42.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 709.6 ±8.7
3175Knight Vision
B
Season APEX 224.1Event APEX 17.23Rank 27Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
201The FEDS
A
Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 163.15Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
51Wings of Fire
A
Season APEX 237Event APEX 145.47Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 577.1 ±9.3
3357COMETS
C
Season APEX 110.7Event APEX 46.91Rank 20Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
1506Metal Muscle
A
Season APEX 261.1Event APEX 75.76Rank 13Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
10349Pontiac Firebirds
B
Season APEX 205.3Event APEX 114.76Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3175, 201, 51
79
/ 100 compat
Projected
325.9 pts
~2.4 RP (offseason)
Teams: 3175, 201, 51
Auto
42.9 12%
Teleop
180.1 51%
Endgame
130.1 37%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 19%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 62%
Blue · 3357, 1506, 10349
64
/ 100 compat
Projected
237.4 pts
~1.3 RP (offseason)
Teams: 3357, 1506, 10349
Auto
26.4 10%
Teleop
118.2 43%
Endgame
130.4 47%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 19%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 62%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.37 · Blue 1.31
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score325.9pts
Blue projected score237.4pts
Red win probability75%
Event bonus sample130alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 19%, blue 18%
Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 62%, blue 60%
  • Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
88.4
Score range
203–360
Upset likelihood
25%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match
High scoring
Playoff

Combined score 591 vs event baseline 189.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

709.6Season APEX577.1
42.9Auto26.4
180.1Teleop118.2
130.1Endgame130.4
24Consistency4

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto3851
teleop170146
endgame8997
foul00
total297294

Result

Final score

297 – 294

Prediction correct · off by 42.7 pts

Match videos

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