Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

392.37 – 166.73

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

341 – 161

Prediction correct · off by 28.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 691 ±9.9

6120CyberStangs

Season APEX 78.1Event APEX 41.33Rank 23Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

33Killer Bees

Season APEX 256.8Event APEX 153.38Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 197.66Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 506.2 ±9.3

7197Mountie Megabots

Season APEX 137.4Event APEX 76.59Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4327Q Branch

Season APEX 127.4Event APEX 33.24Rank 29Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3656Dexter Dreadbots

Season APEX 241.4Event APEX 56.9Rank 8Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6120, 33, 5460

/ 100 compat

Projected

392.4 pts

~2.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6120, 33, 5460

Auto

88.4 21%

Teleop

197.9 46%

Endgame

143.9 33%

Strengths

· 5460 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 58%

Blue · 7197, 4327, 3656

/ 100 compat

Projected

166.7 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7197, 4327, 3656

Auto

34.8 17%

Teleop

73.2 37%

Endgame

91.0 46%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 58%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.8 · Blue 1.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score392.4pts

Blue projected score166.7pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 16%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 58%, blue 71%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 225.6
Score range: 133–426
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 502 vs event baseline 188.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

691Season APEX506.2

88.4Auto34.8

197.9Teleop73.2

143.9Endgame91

0Consistency65

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	117	15
teleop	70	68
endgame	139	78
foul	15	0
total	341	161

Result

Final score

341 – 161

Prediction correct · off by 28.6 pts

Match videos

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