Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

171.23 – 160.55

53%47%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

169 – 114

Prediction correct · off by 24.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 506.2 ±9.3

7197Mountie Megabots

Season APEX 137.4Event APEX 79.68Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4327Q Branch

Season APEX 127.4Event APEX 35.45Rank 29Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3656Dexter Dreadbots

Season APEX 241.4Event APEX 56.1Rank 8Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 367.8 ±10.4

9210Fighting Falcons

Season APEX 143.8Event APEX 75.11Rank 15Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9255Botmasterz

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX 35.5Rank 7Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4422Twisted Angels

Season APEX 126.7Event APEX 49.94Rank 17Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7197, 4327, 3656

/ 100 compat

Projected

171.2 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7197, 4327, 3656

Auto

27.2 13%

Teleop

83.0 40%

Endgame

97.4 47%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 71%

Blue · 9210, 9255, 4422

/ 100 compat

Projected

160.6 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9210, 9255, 4422

Auto

31.4 15%

Teleop

81.4 38%

Endgame

99.0 47%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 71%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.96 · Blue 1.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score171.2pts

Blue projected score160.6pts

Red win probability53%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 16%, blue 18%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 71%, blue 77%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 10.7
Score range: 128–204
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 283 vs event baseline 185.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

506.2Season APEX367.8

27.2Auto31.4

83Teleop81.4

97.4Endgame99

53Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	63	17
teleop	39	27
endgame	62	70
foul	5	0
total	169	114

Result

Final score

169 – 114

Prediction correct · off by 24.4 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.