Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

388.69 – 120.54

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

433 – 147

Prediction correct · off by 35.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 691 ±9.9

6120CyberStangs

Season APEX 78.1Event APEX 41.02Rank 23Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

33Killer Bees

Season APEX 256.8Event APEX 152.61Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 195.06Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 503.7 ±10.4

226Hammerheads

Season APEX 153.6Event APEX 16.47Rank 24Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2834Bionic Black Hawks

Season APEX 167.7Event APEX 43.92Rank 11Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2611Jacktown Vectors

Season APEX 182.4Event APEX 60.15Rank 12Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6120, 33, 5460

/ 100 compat

Projected

388.7 pts

~2.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6120, 33, 5460

Auto

87.6 20%

Teleop

193.9 45%

Endgame

146.4 34%

Strengths

· 5460 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 58%

Blue · 226, 2834, 2611

/ 100 compat

Projected

120.5 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 226, 2834, 2611

Auto

3.6 2%

Teleop

76.2 50%

Endgame

71.6 47%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 58%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.84 · Blue 0.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score388.7pts

Blue projected score120.5pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 18%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 58%, blue 65%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 268.2
Score range: 88–422
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 580 vs event baseline 183.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

691Season APEX503.7

87.6Auto3.6

193.9Teleop76.2

146.4Endgame71.6

20Consistency38

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	99	32
teleop	207	57
endgame	127	58
foul	0	0
total	433	147

Result

Final score

433 – 147

Prediction correct · off by 35.4 pts

Match videos

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