Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

367.34 – 274.26

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

532 – 233

Prediction correct · off by 103 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 691 ±9.9

6120CyberStangs

Season APEX 78.1Event APEX 31.39Rank 23Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

33Killer Bees

Season APEX 256.8Event APEX 146.04Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 189.91Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 577.1 ±9.3

3357COMETS

Season APEX 110.7Event APEX 59.09Rank 20Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1506Metal Muscle

Season APEX 261.1Event APEX 88.54Rank 13Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10349Pontiac Firebirds

Season APEX 205.3Event APEX 126.63Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6120, 33, 5460

/ 100 compat

Projected

367.3 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6120, 33, 5460

Auto

84.9 22%

Teleop

169.7 43%

Endgame

136.0 35%

Strengths

· 5460 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 58%

Blue · 3357, 1506, 10349

/ 100 compat

Projected

274.3 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3357, 1506, 10349

Auto

37.7 13%

Teleop

141.4 49%

Endgame

112.2 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 58%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.44 · Blue 1.29

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score367.3pts

Blue projected score274.3pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 18%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 58%, blue 60%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 93.1
Score range: 239–402
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 765 vs event baseline 196.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

691Season APEX577.1

84.9Auto37.7

169.7Teleop141.4

136Endgame112.2

9Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	116	7
teleop	260	72
endgame	141	139
foul	15	15
total	532	233

Result

Final score

532 – 233

Prediction correct · off by 103 pts

Match videos

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