Playoff · Playoff Match 11 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

378.53 – 315.91

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

314 – 379

Prediction missed · off by 63.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 691 ±9.9

6120CyberStangs

Season APEX 78.1Event APEX 35.71Rank 23Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

33Killer Bees

Season APEX 256.8Event APEX 149.42Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 193.4Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 709.6 ±8.7

3175Knight Vision

Season APEX 224.1Event APEX 12.84Rank 27Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

201The FEDS

Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 159.92Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

51Wings of Fire

Season APEX 237Event APEX 143.15Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6120, 33, 5460

/ 100 compat

Projected

378.5 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6120, 33, 5460

Auto

93.2 23%

Teleop

173.0 42%

Endgame

143.6 35%

Strengths

· 5460 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 58%

Blue · 3175, 201, 51

/ 100 compat

Projected

315.9 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3175, 201, 51

Auto

41.1 12%

Teleop

176.9 52%

Endgame

121.8 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 58%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.28 · Blue 1.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score378.5pts

Blue projected score315.9pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 19%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 58%, blue 62%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 62.6
Score range: 281–414
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 693 vs event baseline 193.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

691Season APEX709.6

93.2Auto41.1

173Teleop176.9

143.6Endgame121.8

3Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	42
teleop	155	198
endgame	92	139
foul	25	0
total	314	379

Result

Final score

314 – 379

Prediction missed · off by 63.8 pts

Match videos

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