Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

248.21 – 132.48

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

392 – 230

Prediction correct · off by 120.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 577.1 ±9.3

3357COMETS

Season APEX 110.7Event APEX 50.47Rank 20Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1506Metal Muscle

Season APEX 261.1Event APEX 79.9Rank 13Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10349Pontiac Firebirds

Season APEX 205.3Event APEX 117.84Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 503.7 ±10.4

226Hammerheads

Season APEX 153.6Event APEX 20.78Rank 24Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2834Bionic Black Hawks

Season APEX 167.7Event APEX 49.23Rank 11Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2611Jacktown Vectors

Season APEX 182.4Event APEX 62.47Rank 12Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3357, 1506, 10349

/ 100 compat

Projected

248.2 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3357, 1506, 10349

Auto

30.8 11%

Teleop

124.2 44%

Endgame

124.4 45%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 60%

Blue · 226, 2834, 2611

/ 100 compat

Projected

132.5 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 226, 2834, 2611

Auto

8.9 6%

Teleop

73.7 46%

Endgame

77.6 48%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 60%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.43 · Blue 1.23

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score248.2pts

Blue projected score132.5pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 18%, blue 18%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 60%, blue 65%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 115.7
Score range: 98–282
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 622 vs event baseline 191.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

577.1Season APEX503.7

30.8Auto8.9

124.2Teleop73.7

124.4Endgame77.6

4Consistency60

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	59	11
teleop	189	95
endgame	99	109
foul	45	15
total	392	230

Result

Final score

392 – 230

Prediction correct · off by 120.7 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.