Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

284.16 – 255.06

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

334 – 175

Prediction correct · off by 64.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 464 ±10.5

201The FEDS

Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 163.12Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7197Mountie Megabots

Season APEX 137.4Event APEX 74.98Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6120CyberStangs

Season APEX 78.1Event APEX 46.06Rank 23Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 538.5 ±9.3

1076PiHi Samurai

Season APEX 201Event APEX 51.6Rank 10Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

51Wings of Fire

Season APEX 237Event APEX 146.22Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4381Twisted Devils

Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 57.24Rank 9Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 201, 7197, 6120

/ 100 compat

Projected

284.2 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 201, 7197, 6120

Auto

29.7 10%

Teleop

146.9 49%

Endgame

124.2 41%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 61%

Blue · 1076, 51, 4381

/ 100 compat

Projected

255.1 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1076, 51, 4381

Auto

57.8 19%

Teleop

128.1 43%

Endgame

110.6 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 61%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.05 · Blue 1.76

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score284.2pts

Blue projected score255.1pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 19%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 61%, blue 72%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 29.1
Score range: 218–321
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 509 vs event baseline 206.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

464Season APEX538.5

29.7Auto57.8

146.9Teleop128.1

124.2Endgame110.6

41Consistency92

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	53
teleop	185	83
endgame	165	89
foul	0	0
total	334	175

Result

Final score

334 – 175

Prediction correct · off by 64.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.