Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

323.3 – 63.02

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

481 – 80

Prediction correct · off by 87.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 837 ±8.7

33Killer Bees

Season APEX 256.8Event APEX 137.83Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 182.19Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3175Knight Vision

Season APEX 224.1Event APEX 3.28Rank 27Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 330.2 ±11.1

1596The Instigators

Season APEX 76.6Event APEX 3.11Rank 30Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1076PiHi Samurai

Season APEX 201Event APEX 62.47Rank 10Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6548Perry RAMBOTS

Season APEX 52.6Event APEX -2.56Rank 26Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 33, 5460, 3175

/ 100 compat

Projected

323.3 pts

~2.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 33, 5460, 3175

Auto

80.9 23%

Teleop

157.4 44%

Endgame

121.0 34%

Strengths

· 5460 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 61%

Blue · 1596, 1076, 6548

/ 100 compat

Projected

63 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1596, 1076, 6548

Auto

22.5 21%

Teleop

10.8 10%

Endgame

74.3 69%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 61%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.87 · Blue 1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score323.3pts

Blue projected score63pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 11%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 61%, blue 80%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 260.3
Score range: 30–356
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 561 vs event baseline 180.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

837Season APEX330.2

80.9Auto22.5

157.4Teleop10.8

121Endgame74.3

77Consistency81

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	106	8
teleop	253	20
endgame	162	82
foul	10	20
total	481	80

Result

Final score

481 – 80

Prediction correct · off by 87.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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