Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

200.98 – 93.9

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

279 – 157

Prediction correct · off by 70.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 576.4 ±10.5

6548Perry RAMBOTS

Season APEX 52.6Event APEX -9.92Rank 26Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 174.98Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2834Bionic Black Hawks

Season APEX 167.7Event APEX 35.92Rank 11Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 545.6 ±9.3

5577Kinematic Wolves

Season APEX 176.8Event APEX 8.17Rank 22Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4327Q Branch

Season APEX 127.4Event APEX 33Rank 29Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3656Dexter Dreadbots

Season APEX 241.4Event APEX 52.73Rank 8Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6548, 5460, 2834

/ 100 compat

Projected

201 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6548, 5460, 2834

Auto

61.3 25%

Teleop

83.3 34%

Endgame

100.5 41%

Strengths

· 5460 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 72%

Blue · 5577, 4327, 3656

/ 100 compat

Projected

93.9 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5577, 4327, 3656

Auto

14.9 11%

Teleop

40.3 30%

Endgame

78.7 59%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 72%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.54 · Blue 1.32

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score201pts

Blue projected score93.9pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 21%, blue 12%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 72%, blue 76%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 107.1
Score range: 62–233
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 436 vs event baseline 178.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

576.4Season APEX545.6

61.3Auto14.9

83.3Teleop40.3

100.5Endgame78.7

71Consistency62

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	74	44
teleop	101	31
endgame	154	72
foul	0	60
total	279	157

Result

Final score

279 – 157

Prediction correct · off by 70.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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