Qualification · Qualification 41
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
81.34 – 293.02
7%93%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
88 – 433
Prediction correct · off by 73.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 382.9 ±10.5
Season APEX 224.1Event APEX 8.66Rank 27Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 112.5Event APEX 57.4Rank 28Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 46.3Event APEX 15.28Rank 21Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 623.6 ±9.3
Season APEX 256.8Event APEX 129.92Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 151.56Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 118.3Event APEX 11.54Rank 18Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3175, 4926, 3655
36
/ 100 compatProjected
81.3 pts
~0.9 RP (offseason)
Teams: 3175, 4926, 3655
Auto
14.0 14%
Teleop
41.1 40%
Endgame
47.5 46%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 10%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 64%
Blue · 33, 201, 8424
76
/ 100 compatProjected
293 pts
~2.9 RP (offseason)
Teams: 33, 201, 8424
Auto
31.3 9%
Teleop
153.9 45%
Endgame
155.2 46%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 10%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 64%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.91 · Blue 2.85
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score81.3pts
Blue projected score293pts
Red win probability7%
Event bonus sample130alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 10%, blue 21%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 9%
Traversal bonusred 64%, blue 68%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -211.7
- Score range
- 50–324
- Upset likelihood
- 7%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
382.9Season APEX623.6
14Auto31.3
41.1Teleop153.9
47.5Endgame155.2
61Consistency37
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 5 | 73 |
| teleop | 64 | 264 |
| endgame | 69 | 146 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 88 | 433 |
Result
Final score
88 – 433
Prediction correct · off by 73.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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