Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

153.64 – 105.5

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

159 – 109

Prediction correct · off by 4.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 486.2 ±10.5

6548Perry RAMBOTS

Season APEX 52.6Event APEX -12.06Rank 26Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

33Killer Bees

Season APEX 256.8Event APEX 159.31Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5577Kinematic Wolves

Season APEX 176.8Event APEX 6.39Rank 22Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 235.5 ±12.8

5704Weird & Wired

Season APEX 30.9Event APEX 38.61Rank 19Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4422Twisted Angels

Season APEX 126.7Event APEX 42.2Rank 17Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6078RoboRams

Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 24.69Rank 25Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6548, 33, 5577

/ 100 compat

Projected

153.6 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6548, 33, 5577

Auto

33.0 16%

Teleop

73.0 36%

Endgame

94.6 47%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 77%

Blue · 5704, 4422, 6078

/ 100 compat

Projected

105.5 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5704, 4422, 6078

Auto

16.2 10%

Teleop

57.8 36%

Endgame

85.9 54%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 77%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.26 · Blue 1.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score153.6pts

Blue projected score105.5pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 17%, blue 18%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 77%, blue 80%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 48.1
Score range: 69–191
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 268 vs event baseline 206.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

486.2Season APEX235.5

33Auto16.2

73Teleop57.8

94.6Endgame85.9

68Consistency73

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	12
teleop	107	44
endgame	73	88
foul	0	15
total	159	109

Result

Final score

159 – 109

Prediction correct · off by 4.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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