Qualification · Qualification 38

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

171.75 – 121.5

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

254 – 184

Prediction correct · off by 72.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 482.7 ±9.3

4327Q Branch

Season APEX 127.4Event APEX 36.56Rank 29Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8424Tractor Technicians Next Gen

Season APEX 118.3Event APEX 4.72Rank 18Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

51Wings of Fire

Season APEX 237Event APEX 130.47Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 467.1 ±9.8

226Hammerheads

Season APEX 153.6Event APEX 2.62Rank 24Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4926GalacTech

Season APEX 112.5Event APEX 54.9Rank 28Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1076PiHi Samurai

Season APEX 201Event APEX 63.98Rank 10Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4327, 8424, 51

/ 100 compat

Projected

171.8 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4327, 8424, 51

Auto

12.4 6%

Teleop

92.9 42%

Endgame

113.6 52%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 11%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 68%

Blue · 226, 4926, 1076

/ 100 compat

Projected

121.5 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 226, 4926, 1076

Auto

28.7 19%

Teleop

59.4 39%

Endgame

65.3 43%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 11%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 68%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.14 · Blue 1.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score171.8pts

Blue projected score121.5pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 11%, blue 14%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 68%, blue 70%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 50.3
Score range: 92–202
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 438 vs event baseline 167.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

482.7Season APEX467.1

12.4Auto28.7

92.9Teleop59.4

113.6Endgame65.3

130Consistency15

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	40
teleop	122	112
endgame	140	82
foul	15	0
total	254	184

Result

Final score

254 – 184

Prediction correct · off by 72.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.