Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

202.68 – 152.93

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

319 – 97

Prediction correct · off by 86.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 680.6 ±9.3

3656Dexter Dreadbots

Season APEX 241.4Event APEX 47.2Rank 8Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2611Jacktown Vectors

Season APEX 182.4Event APEX 41.97Rank 12Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

33Killer Bees

Season APEX 256.8Event APEX 113.51Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 451.9 ±9.8

1189Gearheads

Season APEX 254.1Event APEX 64.19Rank 14Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4381Twisted Devils

Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 51.93Rank 9Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9255Botmasterz

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX 36.81Rank 7Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3656, 2611, 33

/ 100 compat

Projected

202.7 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3656, 2611, 33

Auto

8.2 3%

Teleop

137.2 58%

Endgame

92.1 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 65%

Blue · 1189, 4381, 9255

/ 100 compat

Projected

152.9 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1189, 4381, 9255

Auto

44.1 21%

Teleop

63.1 30%

Endgame

101.3 49%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 65%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.27 · Blue 1.68

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score202.7pts

Blue projected score152.9pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 18%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 65%, blue 75%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 49.8
Score range: 123–233
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 416 vs event baseline 166.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

680.6Season APEX451.9

8.2Auto44.1

137.2Teleop63.1

92.1Endgame101.3

0Consistency16

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	85	6
teleop	150	33
endgame	134	108
foul	0	0
total	319	97

Result

Final score

319 – 97

Prediction correct · off by 86.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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