Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

190.99 – 57.54

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

224 – 43

Prediction correct · off by 23.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 405.5 ±10.5

3655Tractor Technicians

Season APEX 46.3Event APEX 17.57Rank 21Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

201The FEDS

Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 150.95Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3357COMETS

Season APEX 110.7Event APEX 22.47Rank 20Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 307.6 ±11.7

3175Knight Vision

Season APEX 224.1Event APEX 19.31Rank 27Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5704Weird & Wired

Season APEX 30.9Event APEX 35.58Rank 19Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6548Perry RAMBOTS

Season APEX 52.6Event APEX 2.65Rank 26Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3655, 201, 3357

/ 100 compat

Projected

191 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3655, 201, 3357

Auto

33.9 14%

Teleop

99.6 41%

Endgame

109.7 45%

Strengths

· 201 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 67%

Blue · 3175, 5704, 6548

/ 100 compat

Projected

57.5 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3175, 5704, 6548

Auto

6.7 9%

Teleop

24.5 34%

Endgame

41.0 57%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 67%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.53 · Blue 1.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score191pts

Blue projected score57.5pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 15%, blue 14%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 67%, blue 70%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 133.5
Score range: 28–221
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 267 vs event baseline 167.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

405.5Season APEX307.6

33.9Auto6.7

99.6Teleop24.5

109.7Endgame41

28Consistency109

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	7
teleop	85	9
endgame	158	77
foul	5	0
total	224	43

Result

Final score

224 – 43

Prediction correct · off by 23.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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