Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

193.18 – 242.24

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

144 – 367

Prediction correct · off by 87 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 395.8 ±9.8

4327Q Branch

Season APEX 127.4Event APEX 41.71Rank 29Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7197Mountie Megabots

Season APEX 137.4Event APEX 99.65Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

247Da Bears

Season APEX 131Event APEX 51.82Rank 16Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 716.2 ±8.7

10349Pontiac Firebirds

Season APEX 205.3Event APEX 90.51Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

33Killer Bees

Season APEX 256.8Event APEX 99.32Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1189Gearheads

Season APEX 254.1Event APEX 52.41Rank 14Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4327, 7197, 247

/ 100 compat

Projected

193.2 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4327, 7197, 247

Auto

21.7 9%

Teleop

90.9 39%

Endgame

119.7 52%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 73%

Blue · 10349, 33, 1189

/ 100 compat

Projected

242.2 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10349, 33, 1189

Auto

49.3 16%

Teleop

113.4 37%

Endgame

140.8 46%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 73%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.61 · Blue 2.34

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score193.2pts

Blue projected score242.2pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 14%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 73%, blue 67%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -49.1
Score range: 164–271
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 511 vs event baseline 162.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

395.8Season APEX716.2

21.7Auto49.3

90.9Teleop113.4

119.7Endgame140.8

55Consistency4

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	3	37
teleop	71	199
endgame	120	181
foul	0	0
total	144	367

Result

Final score

144 – 367

Prediction correct · off by 87 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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