Qualification · Qualification 33
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
98.99 – 159.1
32%68%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
133 – 106
Prediction missed · off by 43.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 535.8 ±9.3
Season APEX 224.1Event APEX 18.19Rank 27Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 110.7Event APEX 9.76Rank 20Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 201Event APEX 71.04Rank 10Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 221.5 ±12.2
Season APEX 112.5Event APEX 68.13Rank 28Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 78.1Event APEX 53.89Rank 23Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 30.9Event APEX 37.08Rank 19Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3175, 3357, 1076
44
/ 100 compatProjected
99 pts
~1.4 RP (offseason)
Teams: 3175, 3357, 1076
Auto
25.7 19%
Teleop
46.9 35%
Endgame
59.6 45%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 11%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 65%
Blue · 4926, 6120, 5704
58
/ 100 compatProjected
159.1 pts
~2.1 RP (offseason)
Teams: 4926, 6120, 5704
Auto
26.8 16%
Teleop
80.0 47%
Endgame
62.0 37%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 11%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 65%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.44 · Blue 2.14
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score99pts
Blue projected score159.1pts
Red win probability32%
Event bonus sample130alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 11%, blue 15%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 65%, blue 61%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -60.1
- Score range
- 70–188
- Upset likelihood
- 32%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
535.8Season APEX221.5
25.7Auto26.8
46.9Teleop80
59.6Endgame62
100Consistency15
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 20 | 1 |
| teleop | 55 | 56 |
| endgame | 93 | 99 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 133 | 106 |
Result
Final score
133 – 106
Prediction missed · off by 43.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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