Qualification · Qualification 32
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
248.73 – 88.91
88%12%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
246 – 31
Prediction correct · off by 30.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 657.6 ±9.3
Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 149.41Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 167.7Event APEX 53.99Rank 11Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 241.4Event APEX 45.33Rank 8Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 281.3 ±11.6
Season APEX 182.4Event APEX 44.55Rank 12Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 46.3Event APEX 25.6Rank 21Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 52.6Event APEX 18.76Rank 26Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 201, 2834, 3656
78
/ 100 compatProjected
248.7 pts
~2.8 RP (offseason)
Teams: 201, 2834, 3656
Auto
32.5 11%
Teleop
154.1 51%
Endgame
115.5 38%
Strengths
- · 201 anchors offense
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 26%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 70%
Blue · 2611, 3655, 6548
35
/ 100 compatProjected
88.9 pts
~1.1 RP (offseason)
Teams: 2611, 3655, 6548
Auto
-1.4 0%
Teleop
69.1 62%
Endgame
43.3 39%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 26%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 70%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.75 · Blue 1.11
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score248.7pts
Blue projected score88.9pts
Red win probability88%
Event bonus sample130alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 26%, blue 15%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 70%, blue 71%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 159.8
- Score range
- 59–279
- Upset likelihood
- 12%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
657.6Season APEX281.3
32.5Auto-1.4
154.1Teleop69.1
115.5Endgame43.3
31Consistency38
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 5 | 0 |
| teleop | 152 | 9 |
| endgame | 139 | 67 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 246 | 31 |
Result
Final score
246 – 31
Prediction correct · off by 30.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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