Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

38.97 – 260.49

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

185 – 324

Prediction correct · off by 104.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 509 ±10.5

1189Gearheads

Season APEX 254.1Event APEX 20.02Rank 14Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6120CyberStangs

Season APEX 78.1Event APEX 25.57Rank 23Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5577Kinematic Wolves

Season APEX 176.8Event APEX -6.62Rank 22Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 724.2 ±9.3

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 204.71Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3656Dexter Dreadbots

Season APEX 241.4Event APEX 28.72Rank 8Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4422Twisted Angels

Season APEX 126.7Event APEX 27.06Rank 17Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1189, 6120, 5577

/ 100 compat

Projected

39 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1189, 6120, 5577

Auto

-1.9 0%

Teleop

29.4 37%

Endgame

51.8 65%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 66%

Blue · 5460, 3656, 4422

/ 100 compat

Projected

260.5 pts

~3.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5460, 3656, 4422

Auto

70.6 22%

Teleop

137.1 44%

Endgame

107.0 34%

Strengths

· 5460 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 66%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.97 · Blue 2.96

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score39pts

Blue projected score260.5pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 15%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 66%, blue 74%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -221.5
Score range: 9–290
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 509 vs event baseline 165.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

509Season APEX724.2

-1.9Auto70.6

29.4Teleop137.1

51.8Endgame107

55Consistency65

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	73
teleop	74	176
endgame	104	125
foul	15	0
total	185	324

Result

Final score

185 – 324

Prediction correct · off by 104.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.