Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

97.47 – 255.87

12%88%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

107 – 243

Prediction correct · off by 11.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 325.9 ±11

247Da Bears

Season APEX 131Event APEX 70.44Rank 16Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8424Tractor Technicians Next Gen

Season APEX 118.3Event APEX 22.25Rank 18Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1596The Instigators

Season APEX 76.6Event APEX 4.78Rank 30Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 584.1 ±9.3

3656Dexter Dreadbots

Season APEX 241.4Event APEX 57.86Rank 8Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10349Pontiac Firebirds

Season APEX 205.3Event APEX 123.03Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7197Mountie Megabots

Season APEX 137.4Event APEX 74.98Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 247, 8424, 1596

/ 100 compat

Projected

97.5 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 247, 8424, 1596

Auto

-4.8 0%

Teleop

43.4 33%

Endgame

91.8 70%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 11%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 77%

Blue · 3656, 10349, 7197

/ 100 compat

Projected

255.9 pts

~2.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3656, 10349, 7197

Auto

43.6 15%

Teleop

129.8 45%

Endgame

114.7 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 11%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 77%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.18 · Blue 2.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score97.5pts

Blue projected score255.9pts

Red win probability12%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 11%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 77%, blue 70%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -158.4
Score range: 60–293
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 350 vs event baseline 206.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

325.9Season APEX584.1

-4.8Auto43.6

43.4Teleop129.8

91.8Endgame114.7

51Consistency54

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	38
teleop	23	158
endgame	90	97
foul	30	0
total	107	243

Result

Final score

107 – 243

Prediction correct · off by 11.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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