Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

174.37 – 73.31

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

247 – 91

Prediction correct · off by 45.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 437.2 ±10.7

5704Weird & Wired

Season APEX 30.9Event APEX 20.96Rank 19Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1076PiHi Samurai

Season APEX 201Event APEX 96.04Rank 10Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10349Pontiac Firebirds

Season APEX 205.3Event APEX 57.37Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 416.6 ±11.2

6078RoboRams

Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 50.5Rank 25Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9255Botmasterz

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX 3.46Rank 7Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3656Dexter Dreadbots

Season APEX 241.4Event APEX 19.35Rank 8Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5704, 1076, 10349

/ 100 compat

Projected

174.4 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5704, 1076, 10349

Auto

51.5 23%

Teleop

85.9 39%

Endgame

84.9 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 73%

Blue · 6078, 9255, 3656

/ 100 compat

Projected

73.3 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6078, 9255, 3656

Auto

1.8 2%

Teleop

19.2 17%

Endgame

91.5 81%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 73%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.56 · Blue 1.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score174.4pts

Blue projected score73.3pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 20%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 73%, blue 80%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 101.1
Score range: 44–203
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 338 vs event baseline 163.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

437.2Season APEX416.6

51.5Auto1.8

85.9Teleop19.2

84.9Endgame91.5

41Consistency59

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	15
teleop	138	47
endgame	114	79
foul	0	0
total	247	91

Result

Final score

247 – 91

Prediction correct · off by 45.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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