Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

26.94 – 222.38

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

152 – 334

Prediction correct · off by 118.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 307.1 ±11

6548Perry RAMBOTS

Season APEX 52.6Event APEX 32.34Rank 26Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9210Fighting Falcons

Season APEX 143.8Event APEX 11Rank 15Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3357COMETS

Season APEX 110.7Event APEX -16.4Rank 20Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 610.2 ±9.8

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 184.14Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

226Hammerheads

Season APEX 153.6Event APEX 15.07Rank 24Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4381Twisted Devils

Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 23.17Rank 9Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6548, 9210, 3357

/ 100 compat

Projected

26.9 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6548, 9210, 3357

Auto

16.2 30%

Teleop

-1.1 0%

Endgame

39.2 72%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 13%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 71%

Blue · 5460, 226, 4381

/ 100 compat

Projected

222.4 pts

~2.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5460, 226, 4381

Auto

60.1 23%

Teleop

78.1 29%

Endgame

128.8 48%

Strengths

· 5460 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 13%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 71%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.01 · Blue 2.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score26.9pts

Blue projected score222.4pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 13%, blue 23%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 71%, blue 69%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -195.4
Score range: -2–251
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 486 vs event baseline 158.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

307.1Season APEX610.2

16.2Auto60.1

-1.1Teleop78.1

39.2Endgame128.8

106Consistency149

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	109
teleop	86	173
endgame	93	87
foul	0	15
total	152	334

Result

Final score

152 – 334

Prediction correct · off by 118.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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