Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

183.57 – 64.04

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

112 – 72

Prediction correct · off by 39.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 376.4 ±10.5

9255Botmasterz

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX 24.77Rank 7Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6120CyberStangs

Season APEX 78.1Event APEX 71.41Rank 23Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1076PiHi Samurai

Season APEX 201Event APEX 87.39Rank 10Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 234.9 ±11.7

4327Q Branch

Season APEX 127.4Event APEX 16.4Rank 29Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1596The Instigators

Season APEX 76.6Event APEX -8.64Rank 30Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5704Weird & Wired

Season APEX 30.9Event APEX 56.28Rank 19Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9255, 6120, 1076

/ 100 compat

Projected

183.6 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9255, 6120, 1076

Auto

46.4 22%

Teleop

65.2 31%

Endgame

97.4 47%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 68%

Blue · 4327, 1596, 5704

/ 100 compat

Projected

64 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4327, 1596, 5704

Auto

30.7 35%

Teleop

-0.5 0%

Endgame

57.7 66%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 68%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.5 · Blue 1.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score183.6pts

Blue projected score64pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 16%, blue 9%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 68%, blue 73%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 119.5
Score range: 35–213
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 184 vs event baseline 163.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

376.4Season APEX234.9

46.4Auto30.7

65.2Teleop-0.5

97.4Endgame57.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	5
teleop	68	24
endgame	77	43
foul	0	0
total	112	72

Result

Final score

112 – 72

Prediction correct · off by 39.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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