Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

100.24 – 56.93

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

182 – 73

Prediction correct · off by 48.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 403.6 ±10.5

4381Twisted Devils

Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 10.39Rank 9Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

33Killer Bees

Season APEX 256.8Event APEX 53.91Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3655Tractor Technicians

Season APEX 46.3Event APEX 35.94Rank 21Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 405.8 ±10.4

3357COMETS

Season APEX 110.7Event APEX -7.33Rank 20Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5577Kinematic Wolves

Season APEX 176.8Event APEX 22.76Rank 22Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8424Tractor Technicians Next Gen

Season APEX 118.3Event APEX 41.5Rank 18Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4381, 33, 3655

/ 100 compat

Projected

100.2 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4381, 33, 3655

Auto

20.6 14%

Teleop

42.1 29%

Endgame

84.5 57%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 71%

Blue · 3357, 5577, 8424

/ 100 compat

Projected

56.9 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3357, 5577, 8424

Auto

18.4 21%

Teleop

22.4 25%

Endgame

47.1 54%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 71%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.18 · Blue 1.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score100.2pts

Blue projected score56.9pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 17%, blue 11%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 71%, blue 73%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 43.3
Score range: 27–130
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 255 vs event baseline 164.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

403.6Season APEX405.8

20.6Auto18.4

42.1Teleop22.4

84.5Endgame47.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	0
teleop	107	36
endgame	98	87
foul	0	0
total	182	73

Result

Final score

182 – 73

Prediction correct · off by 48.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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