Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

334.25 – 398.04

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

268 – 510

Prediction correct · off by 89.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 709.6 ±8.7

3175Knight Vision

Season APEX 224.1Event APEX 19.03Rank 27Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

201The FEDS

Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 165.94Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

51Wings of Fire

Season APEX 237Event APEX 149.28Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 691 ±9.9

6120CyberStangs

Season APEX 78.1Event APEX 41.91Rank 23Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

33Killer Bees

Season APEX 256.8Event APEX 155.52Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 200.61Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3175, 201, 51

/ 100 compat

Projected

334.3 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3175, 201, 51

Auto

43.7 12%

Teleop

178.3 51%

Endgame

130.8 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 62%

Blue · 6120, 33, 5460

/ 100 compat

Projected

398 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6120, 33, 5460

Auto

91.8 22%

Teleop

179.5 43%

Endgame

141.7 34%

Strengths

· 5460 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 62%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.49 · Blue 2.29

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score334.3pts

Blue projected score398pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 19%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 62%, blue 58%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -63.8
Score range: 297–435
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 778 vs event baseline 203.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

709.6Season APEX691

43.7Auto91.8

178.3Teleop179.5

130.8Endgame141.7

34Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	105
teleop	120	232
endgame	114	128
foul	0	45
total	268	510

Result

Final score

268 – 510

Prediction correct · off by 89.1 pts

Match videos

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