Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

325.5 – 389.87

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

388 – 461

Prediction correct · off by 66.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 709.6 ±8.7

3175Knight Vision

Season APEX 224.1Event APEX 16.1Rank 27Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

201The FEDS

Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 162.96Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

51Wings of Fire

Season APEX 237Event APEX 146.44Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 691 ±9.9

6120CyberStangs

Season APEX 78.1Event APEX 39.15Rank 23Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

33Killer Bees

Season APEX 256.8Event APEX 152.99Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 197.73Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3175, 201, 51

/ 100 compat

Projected

325.5 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3175, 201, 51

Auto

41.2 12%

Teleop

180.3 52%

Endgame

125.5 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 62%

Blue · 6120, 33, 5460

/ 100 compat

Projected

389.9 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6120, 33, 5460

Auto

89.3 22%

Teleop

182.3 45%

Endgame

136.5 33%

Strengths

· 5460 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 62%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.49 · Blue 2.29

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score325.5pts

Blue projected score389.9pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 19%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 62%, blue 58%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -64.4
Score range: 290–426
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 849 vs event baseline 199.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

709.6Season APEX691

41.2Auto89.3

180.3Teleop182.3

125.5Endgame136.5

35Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	59	111
teleop	166	158
endgame	163	182
foul	0	10
total	388	461

Result

Final score

388 – 461

Prediction correct · off by 66.8 pts

Match videos

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