FIM District Muskegon Event presented by RENK

Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

168.07 – 105.66

68%32%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

228 – 114

Prediction correct · off by 34.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 357.2 ±11

7054SC Sailors

Season APEX 129.9Event APEX 73.29Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9756Robo Panthers

Season APEX 99Event APEX 34.84Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5505V2 - Volts Squared

Season APEX 128.3Event APEX 59.94Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 249.5 ±13.3

6128M.O.T.O.R (More Than Our Robot)

Season APEX 101Event APEX 45.59Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9743MV TITANS

Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 49.57Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7248Tactical Hams

Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 10.5Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7054, 9756, 5505

/ 100 compat

Projected

168.1 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 7054, 9756, 5505

Auto

24.0 14%

Teleop

97.4 58%

Endgame

45.1 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6128, 9743, 7248

/ 100 compat

Projected

105.7 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6128, 9743, 7248

Auto

22.3 21%

Teleop

62.6 59%

Endgame

21.9 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.95 · Blue 1.18

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score168.1pts

Blue projected score105.7pts

Red win probability68%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 62.4
Score range: 82–192
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 342 vs event baseline 132.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

357.2Season APEX249.5

24Auto22.3

97.4Teleop62.6

45.1Endgame21.9

51Consistency52

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	29
teleop	133	59
endgame	73	26
foul	0	0
total	228	114

Result

Final score

228 – 114

Prediction correct · off by 34.1 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.