FIM District Muskegon Event presented by RENK

Qualification · Qualification 70

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

190.14 – 43.38

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

272 – 57

Prediction correct · off by 47.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 541.2 ±9.9

7160Ludington O-Bots

Season APEX 247.2Event APEX 66.12Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2405Techno Trojans

Season APEX 71.5Event APEX 28.82Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3572Wavelength

Season APEX 222.5Event APEX 95.2Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 129.2 ±12.7

9541M st*e(squared)

Season APEX 59.5Event APEX 33.61Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6079JET SET

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX -1.69Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8285Bionic Bulldogs

Season APEX 33Event APEX 11.46Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7160, 2405, 3572

/ 100 compat

Projected

190.1 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 7160, 2405, 3572

Auto

41.9 22%

Teleop

103.2 54%

Endgame

44.5 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9541, 6079, 8285

/ 100 compat

Projected

43.4 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9541, 6079, 8285

Auto

7.7 16%

Teleop

24.5 52%

Endgame

14.7 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.35 · Blue 0.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score190.1pts

Blue projected score43.4pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 146.8
Score range: 20–213
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 329 vs event baseline 130.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

541.2Season APEX129.2

41.9Auto7.7

103.2Teleop24.5

44.5Endgame14.7

62Consistency69

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	67	22
teleop	144	24
endgame	56	11
foul	5	0
total	272	57

Result

Final score

272 – 57

Prediction correct · off by 47.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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