FIM District Muskegon Event presented by RENK

Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

23.11 – 98.29

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

74 – 209

Prediction correct · off by 80.8 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 257.6 ±12.7

2771Code Red Robotics the Stray Dogs

Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 14.57Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

107Team R.O.B.O.T.I.C.S.

Season APEX 89.2Event APEX 5.11Rank 35Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5470The Cowpunchers

Season APEX 53.1Event APEX 3.43Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 404.4 ±11.7

6079JET SET

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 21.43Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6005Cardinaltronics

Season APEX 69Event APEX 4.57Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6090Wayland Wildcats

A+

Season APEX 298.7Event APEX 72.29Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2771, 107, 5470

/ 100 compat

Projected

23.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 2771, 107, 5470

Auto

3.6 15%

Teleop

16.3 69%

Endgame

3.7 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6079, 6005, 6090

/ 100 compat

Projected

98.3 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6079, 6005, 6090

Auto

23.7 24%

Teleop

49.1 50%

Endgame

25.4 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1 · Blue 2.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score23.1pts

Blue projected score98.3pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -75.2
Score range: 4–117
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 283 vs event baseline 104.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

257.6Season APEX404.4

3.6Auto23.7

16.3Teleop49.1

3.7Endgame25.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	35
teleop	30	125
endgame	31	49
foul	5	0
total	74	209

Result

Final score

74 – 209

Prediction correct · off by 80.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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