FIM District Muskegon Event presented by RENK

Qualification · Qualification 68

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

90.81 – 98.85

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

91 – 199

Prediction correct · off by 50.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 220.9 ±12.8

11503TALONS

Season APEX 88.2Event APEX 23.39Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9743MV TITANS

Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 51.27Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3458Code Blue

Season APEX 45.8Event APEX 16.15Rank 34Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 258.4 ±11

6877Mechanical Mustangs

Season APEX 94.3Event APEX 27.57Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

85B.O.B. (Built on Brains)

Season APEX 125.4Event APEX 66.73Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10607DAAS Jaguars

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 4.55Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11503, 9743, 3458

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.8 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 11503, 9743, 3458

Auto

22.1 24%

Teleop

50.3 55%

Endgame

19.2 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6877, 85, 10607

/ 100 compat

Projected

98.9 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6877, 85, 10607

Auto

18.5 19%

Teleop

56.4 57%

Endgame

23.6 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.42 · Blue 1.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score90.8pts

Blue projected score98.9pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -8
Score range: 68–122
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 290 vs event baseline 130.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

220.9Season APEX258.4

22.1Auto18.5

50.3Teleop56.4

19.2Endgame23.6

3Consistency44

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	23
teleop	31	131
endgame	39	45
foul	0	0
total	91	199

Result

Final score

91 – 199

Prediction correct · off by 50.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.