Qualification · Qualification 62
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
72.48 – 120.34
36%64%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
85 – 94
Prediction correct · off by 19.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 254.9 ±13.3
Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 51.14Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 89.2Event APEX 14.22Rank 35Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 78.8Event APEX 7.12Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 261.3 ±12.7
Season APEX 47Event APEX 17.57Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 99Event APEX 40.62Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 62.15Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9743, 107, 4827
47
/ 100 compatProjected
72.5 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 9743, 107, 4827
Auto
15.7 23%
Teleop
39.9 57%
Endgame
14.0 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7810, 9756, 2771
56
/ 100 compatProjected
120.3 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 7810, 9756, 2771
Auto
14.6 12%
Teleop
70.6 59%
Endgame
34.5 29%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.12 · Blue 1.81
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score72.5pts
Blue projected score120.3pts
Red win probability36%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 37%, blue 48%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -47.9
- Score range
- 49–143
- Upset likelihood
- 36%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
254.9Season APEX261.3
15.7Auto14.6
39.9Teleop70.6
14Endgame34.5
80Consistency18
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 16 | 21 |
| teleop | 41 | 56 |
| endgame | 28 | 17 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 85 | 94 |
Result
Final score
85 – 94
Prediction correct · off by 19.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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