FIM District Muskegon Event presented by RENK

Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

166.45 – 70.12

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

152 – 133

Prediction correct · off by 38.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 298 ±11.6

4956RoboSharks

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 85.71Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6877Mechanical Mustangs

Season APEX 94.3Event APEX 30.73Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6128M.O.T.O.R (More Than Our Robot)

Season APEX 101Event APEX 50.01Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 265.7 ±12.2

11503TALONS

Season APEX 88.2Event APEX 20.33Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4004M.A.R.S. Rovers

Season APEX 97.6Event APEX 51.53Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11522Union HS

Season APEX 79.9Event APEX -1.74Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4956, 6877, 6128

/ 100 compat

Projected

166.5 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 4956, 6877, 6128

Auto

19.3 12%

Teleop

92.1 56%

Endgame

53.5 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11503, 4004, 11522

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 11503, 4004, 11522

Auto

13.6 21%

Teleop

34.0 52%

Endgame

18.1 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.2 · Blue 0.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score166.5pts

Blue projected score70.1pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 96.3
Score range: 47–189
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 285 vs event baseline 128.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

298Season APEX265.7

19.3Auto13.6

92.1Teleop34

53.5Endgame18.1

35Consistency28

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	21
teleop	96	63
endgame	32	49
foul	0	0
total	152	133

Result

Final score

152 – 133

Prediction correct · off by 38.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.