FIM District Muskegon Event presented by RENK

Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

133.68 – 166.26

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

107 – 139

Prediction correct · off by 27 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 286.9 ±12.7

6128M.O.T.O.R (More Than Our Robot)

Season APEX 101Event APEX 45.02Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9743MV TITANS

Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 50.51Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9756Robo Panthers

Season APEX 99Event APEX 38.15Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 401.3 ±10.5

10654Tiger Bytes

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 9.66Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3572Wavelength

Season APEX 222.5Event APEX 93.16Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5505V2 - Volts Squared

Season APEX 128.3Event APEX 63.44Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6128, 9743, 9756

/ 100 compat

Projected

133.7 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6128, 9743, 9756

Auto

18.3 14%

Teleop

80.2 60%

Endgame

35.9 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10654, 3572, 5505

/ 100 compat

Projected

166.3 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 10654, 3572, 5505

Auto

37.7 24%

Teleop

74.4 47%

Endgame

47.7 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.36 · Blue 1.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score133.7pts

Blue projected score166.3pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -32.6
Score range: 109–191
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 246 vs event baseline 140.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

286.9Season APEX401.3

18.3Auto37.7

80.2Teleop74.4

35.9Endgame47.7

46Consistency79

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	31
teleop	45	57
endgame	46	51
foul	5	0
total	107	139

Result

Final score

107 – 139

Prediction correct · off by 27 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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