FIM District Muskegon Event presented by RENK

Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

52.74 – 128.17

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

121 – 122

Prediction correct · off by 37.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 204.9 ±13.3

4004M.A.R.S. Rovers

Season APEX 97.6Event APEX 46.5Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3458Code Blue

Season APEX 45.8Event APEX -2.54Rank 34Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9754Vestabots

Season APEX 61.5Event APEX 8.78Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 281.9 ±11.6

7054SC Sailors

Season APEX 129.9Event APEX 59.14Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2771Code Red Robotics the Stray Dogs

Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 63.17Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6079JET SET

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 5.86Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4004, 3458, 9754

/ 100 compat

Projected

52.7 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4004, 3458, 9754

Auto

21.1 40%

Teleop

18.6 35%

Endgame

13.7 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7054, 2771, 6079

/ 100 compat

Projected

128.2 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7054, 2771, 6079

Auto

7.7 6%

Teleop

93.5 73%

Endgame

26.4 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.09 · Blue 2.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score52.7pts

Blue projected score128.2pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -75.4
Score range: 31–150
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 243 vs event baseline 124.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

204.9Season APEX281.9

21.1Auto7.7

18.6Teleop93.5

13.7Endgame26.4

109Consistency33

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	20
teleop	58	79
endgame	39	23
foul	0	0
total	121	122

Result

Final score

121 – 122

Prediction correct · off by 37.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.