FIM District Muskegon Event presented by RENK

Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

141.42 – 119.79

57%43%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

159 – 121

Prediction correct · off by 9.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 336.4 ±12.4

6005Cardinaltronics

Season APEX 69Event APEX 27.28Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2075Enigma Robotics

Season APEX 234.4Event APEX 103.35Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8285Bionic Bulldogs

Season APEX 33Event APEX 10.79Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 289.6 ±11.6

5505V2 - Volts Squared

Season APEX 128.3Event APEX 61.31Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9106Spires

Season APEX 72.1Event APEX 47.63Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

107Team R.O.B.O.T.I.C.S.

Season APEX 89.2Event APEX 10.85Rank 35Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6005, 2075, 8285

/ 100 compat

Projected

141.4 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6005, 2075, 8285

Auto

20.5 14%

Teleop

97.2 68%

Endgame

25.1 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5505, 9106, 107

/ 100 compat

Projected

119.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5505, 9106, 107

Auto

20.3 18%

Teleop

53.6 47%

Endgame

40.4 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.74 · Blue 1.31

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score141.4pts

Blue projected score119.8pts

Red win probability57%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 21.6
Score range: 97–164
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 280 vs event baseline 125.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

336.4Season APEX289.6

20.5Auto20.3

97.2Teleop53.6

25.1Endgame40.4

46Consistency77

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	20
teleop	96	54
endgame	32	47
foul	0	0
total	159	121

Result

Final score

159 – 121

Prediction correct · off by 9.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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