FIM District Muskegon Event presented by RENK

Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

154.51 – 147.3

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

129 – 282

Prediction missed · off by 80.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 285.3 ±12.7

6005Cardinaltronics

Season APEX 69Event APEX 30.89Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2771Code Red Robotics the Stray Dogs

Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 68.63Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6128M.O.T.O.R (More Than Our Robot)

Season APEX 101Event APEX 54.99Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 375.2 ±10.5

85B.O.B. (Built on Brains)

Season APEX 125.4Event APEX 43.87Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9756Robo Panthers

Season APEX 99Event APEX 37.08Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4967That ONE Team-OurNextEngineers

Season APEX 150.8Event APEX 66.35Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6005, 2771, 6128

/ 100 compat

Projected

154.5 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6005, 2771, 6128

Auto

17.5 11%

Teleop

99.5 64%

Endgame

39.1 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 85, 9756, 4967

/ 100 compat

Projected

147.3 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 85, 9756, 4967

Auto

35.4 24%

Teleop

77.1 53%

Endgame

32.1 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.64 · Blue 1.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score154.5pts

Blue projected score147.3pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 7.2
Score range: 126–176
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 411 vs event baseline 118.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

285.3Season APEX375.2

17.5Auto35.4

99.5Teleop77.1

39.1Endgame32.1

48Consistency55

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	35
teleop	75	155
endgame	34	92
foul	5	0
total	129	282

Result

Final score

129 – 282

Prediction missed · off by 80.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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