FIM District Muskegon Event presented by RENK

Qualification · Qualification 41

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

94.05 – 72.15

57%43%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

111 – 51

Prediction correct · off by 19.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 234.9 ±12.2

9541M st*e(squared)

Season APEX 59.5Event APEX 23.16Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5505V2 - Volts Squared

Season APEX 128.3Event APEX 54.55Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6428STEMINEERS

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 16.34Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 184.8 ±12.1

6079JET SET

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 2.5Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4004M.A.R.S. Rovers

Season APEX 97.6Event APEX 48.61Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10654Tiger Bytes

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 21.04Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9541, 5505, 6428

/ 100 compat

Projected

94.1 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9541, 5505, 6428

Auto

19.9 22%

Teleop

38.2 42%

Endgame

32.3 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6079, 4004, 10654

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.2 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6079, 4004, 10654

Auto

11.5 16%

Teleop

43.0 60%

Endgame

17.7 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.78 · Blue 1.35

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score94.1pts

Blue projected score72.2pts

Red win probability57%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 21.9
Score range: 50–116
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 162 vs event baseline 119.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

234.9Season APEX184.8

19.9Auto11.5

38.2Teleop43

32.3Endgame17.7

50Consistency22

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	23
teleop	49	5
endgame	34	23
foul	0	0
total	111	51

Result

Final score

111 – 51

Prediction correct · off by 19.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.