FIM District Muskegon Event presented by RENK

Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

109.35 – 105.74

51%49%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

166 – 127

Prediction correct · off by 39 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 345.3 ±11.2

8612Calvin Christian Robotics

Season APEX 237.6Event APEX 108.73Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10607DAAS Jaguars

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX -21.93Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6005Cardinaltronics

Season APEX 69Event APEX 22.55Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 343.5 ±10.4

85B.O.B. (Built on Brains)

Season APEX 125.4Event APEX 41.75Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7054SC Sailors

Season APEX 129.9Event APEX 51.48Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11503TALONS

Season APEX 88.2Event APEX 12.51Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8612, 10607, 6005

/ 100 compat

Projected

109.4 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 8612, 10607, 6005

Auto

15.4 14%

Teleop

80.8 72%

Endgame

16.0 14%

Strengths

· 8612 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 85, 7054, 11503

/ 100 compat

Projected

105.7 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 85, 7054, 11503

Auto

24.6 25%

Teleop

43.1 43%

Endgame

32.5 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.54 · Blue 1.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score109.4pts

Blue projected score105.7pts

Red win probability51%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 3.6
Score range: 84–131
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 293 vs event baseline 119.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

345.3Season APEX343.5

15.4Auto24.6

80.8Teleop43.1

16Endgame32.5

38Consistency67

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	30
teleop	107	80
endgame	35	17
foul	0	0
total	166	127

Result

Final score

166 – 127

Prediction correct · off by 39 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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