FIM District Muskegon Event presented by RENK

Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

236.28 – 128.76

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

314 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 45.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 473.5 ±10.5

6090Wayland Wildcats

A+

Season APEX 298.7Event APEX 126.12Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9106Spires

Season APEX 72.1Event APEX 32.46Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4956RoboSharks

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 77.7Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 400.3 ±11.7

9756Robo Panthers

Season APEX 99Event APEX 37.42Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3572Wavelength

Season APEX 222.5Event APEX 84.75Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4827Minerbotics

Season APEX 78.8Event APEX 6.59Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6090, 9106, 4956

/ 100 compat

Projected

236.3 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6090, 9106, 4956

Auto

54.2 24%

Teleop

118.3 52%

Endgame

53.7 24%

Strengths

· 6090 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9756, 3572, 4827

/ 100 compat

Projected

128.8 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9756, 3572, 4827

Auto

27.9 22%

Teleop

59.2 47%

Endgame

38.8 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.19 · Blue 0.94

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score236.3pts

Blue projected score128.8pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 107.5
Score range: 108–257
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 456 vs event baseline 116.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

473.5Season APEX400.3

54.2Auto27.9

118.3Teleop59.2

53.7Endgame38.8

10Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	62	33
teleop	174	60
endgame	78	49
foul	0	0
total	314	142

Result

Final score

314 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 45.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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