FIM District Muskegon Event presented by RENK

Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

179.3 – 47.31

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

277 – 123

Prediction correct · off by 86.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 609.4 ±9.3

6090Wayland Wildcats

A+

Season APEX 298.7Event APEX 110.95Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3572Wavelength

Season APEX 222.5Event APEX 70.2Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11503TALONS

Season APEX 88.2Event APEX -1.85Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 177.6 ±13.3

4004M.A.R.S. Rovers

Season APEX 97.6Event APEX 35.22Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7810Eagle Robotics

Season APEX 47Event APEX 9.31Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8285Bionic Bulldogs

Season APEX 33Event APEX 2.78Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6090, 3572, 11503

/ 100 compat

Projected

179.3 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6090, 3572, 11503

Auto

50.0 29%

Teleop

65.4 38%

Endgame

58.1 33%

Strengths

· 6090 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4004, 7810, 8285

/ 100 compat

Projected

47.3 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4004, 7810, 8285

Auto

21.9 48%

Teleop

22.9 50%

Endgame

1.2 3%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.26 · Blue 0.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score179.3pts

Blue projected score47.3pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 132
Score range: 26–200
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 400 vs event baseline 114.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

609.4Season APEX177.6

50Auto21.9

65.4Teleop22.9

58.1Endgame1.2

97Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	85	9
teleop	122	85
endgame	55	29
foul	15	0
total	277	123

Result

Final score

277 – 123

Prediction correct · off by 86.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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