FIM District Muskegon Event presented by RENK

Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

107.37 – 66.63

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

163 – 46

Prediction correct · off by 38.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 284 ±12.2

5470The Cowpunchers

Season APEX 53.1Event APEX 16.86Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7054SC Sailors

Season APEX 129.9Event APEX 45.54Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6128M.O.T.O.R (More Than Our Robot)

Season APEX 101Event APEX 44.97Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 251.3 ±11.6

107Team R.O.B.O.T.I.C.S.

Season APEX 89.2Event APEX 18.2Rank 35Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6079JET SET

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 12.28Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

85B.O.B. (Built on Brains)

Season APEX 125.4Event APEX 36.15Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5470, 7054, 6128

/ 100 compat

Projected

107.4 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5470, 7054, 6128

Auto

12.4 12%

Teleop

58.2 56%

Endgame

32.6 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 107, 6079, 85

/ 100 compat

Projected

66.6 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 107, 6079, 85

Auto

-2.3 0%

Teleop

39.5 61%

Endgame

27.1 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.85 · Blue 1.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score107.4pts

Blue projected score66.6pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 40.7
Score range: 47–127
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 209 vs event baseline 113.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

284Season APEX251.3

12.4Auto-2.3

58.2Teleop39.5

32.6Endgame27.1

102Consistency48

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	22
teleop	108	19
endgame	34	0
foul	0	5
total	163	46

Result

Final score

163 – 46

Prediction correct · off by 38.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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