FIM District Muskegon Event presented by RENK

Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 180.91

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

37 – 228

Prediction correct · off by 42 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 188.5 ±13.9

7248Tactical Hams

Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 6.54Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7810Eagle Robotics

Season APEX 47Event APEX -2.05Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11522Union HS

Season APEX 79.9Event APEX -26.49Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 460.1 ±11.1

4004M.A.R.S. Rovers

Season APEX 97.6Event APEX 32.26Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7160Ludington O-Bots

Season APEX 247.2Event APEX 86.14Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2771Code Red Robotics the Stray Dogs

Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 62.51Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7248, 7810, 11522

/ 100 compat

Projected

-22 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7248, 7810, 11522

Auto

13.1 0%

Teleop

-30.6 100%

Endgame

-9.0 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4004, 7160, 2771

/ 100 compat

Projected

180.9 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 4004, 7160, 2771

Auto

24.8 14%

Teleop

100.1 56%

Endgame

54.1 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.67 · Blue 2.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score-22pts

Blue projected score180.9pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -180.9
Score range: -20–201
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 265 vs event baseline 112.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

188.5Season APEX460.1

13.1Auto24.8

-30.6Teleop100.1

-9Endgame54.1

43Consistency61

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	38
teleop	9	157
endgame	9	33
foul	0	0
total	37	228

Result

Final score

37 – 228

Prediction correct · off by 42 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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