FIM District Muskegon Event presented by RENK

Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

110.08 – 103.57

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

120 – 150

Prediction missed · off by 28.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 385.8 ±11.7

3572Wavelength

Season APEX 222.5Event APEX 60.75Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6877Mechanical Mustangs

Season APEX 94.3Event APEX 36.39Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6005Cardinaltronics

Season APEX 69Event APEX 12.94Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 382.9 ±12.4

9743MV TITANS

Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 53.2Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2075Enigma Robotics

Season APEX 234.4Event APEX 73.28Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7248Tactical Hams

Season APEX 61.6Event APEX -22.91Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3572, 6877, 6005

/ 100 compat

Projected

110.1 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3572, 6877, 6005

Auto

8.4 8%

Teleop

52.9 49%

Endgame

47.1 43%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9743, 2075, 7248

/ 100 compat

Projected

103.6 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9743, 2075, 7248

Auto

27.1 27%

Teleop

43.4 43%

Endgame

30.6 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.67 · Blue 1.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score110.1pts

Blue projected score103.6pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 6.5
Score range: 85–129
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 270 vs event baseline 107.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

385.8Season APEX382.9

8.4Auto27.1

52.9Teleop43.4

47.1Endgame30.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	38
teleop	70	101
endgame	39	11
foul	0	0
total	120	150

Result

Final score

120 – 150

Prediction missed · off by 28.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.