FIM District Muskegon Event presented by RENK

Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

38.65 – 22.83

55%45%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

122 – 110

Prediction correct · off by 85.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 300.7 ±11.7

5505V2 - Volts Squared

Season APEX 128.3Event APEX 32.24Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7810Eagle Robotics

Season APEX 47Event APEX 2.12Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

85B.O.B. (Built on Brains)

Season APEX 125.4Event APEX 4.29Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 289.3 ±12.2

6094Manic Mechanics

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX -0.62Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11503TALONS

Season APEX 88.2Event APEX -1.47Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2771Code Red Robotics the Stray Dogs

Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 24.92Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5505, 7810, 85

/ 100 compat

Projected

38.7 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5505, 7810, 85

Auto

13.8 35%

Teleop

6.2 16%

Endgame

19.0 49%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6094, 11503, 2771

/ 100 compat

Projected

22.8 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6094, 11503, 2771

Auto

9.0 44%

Teleop

2.4 12%

Endgame

9.0 44%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.7 · Blue 1.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score38.7pts

Blue projected score22.8pts

Red win probability55%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 15.8
Score range: 4–58
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 232 vs event baseline 106.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

300.7Season APEX289.3

13.8Auto9

6.2Teleop2.4

19Endgame9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	10
teleop	58	56
endgame	20	44
foul	15	0
total	122	110

Result

Final score

122 – 110

Prediction correct · off by 85.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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