FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

298.36 – 143.1

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

342 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 25.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 566.5 ±9.9

5234Marauder Bots

Season APEX 45.5Event APEX 18.03Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7166Red Thunder Robotics

Season APEX 273.7Event APEX 150.65Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2337EngiNERDs

Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 129.68Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 271.1 ±11

10978Complete Robotics

Season APEX 83.3Event APEX 41.71Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5982Merrill's Circuits of Destruction

Season APEX 95.9Event APEX 36.76Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5436Cyber Cats

Season APEX 91.9Event APEX 64.63Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5234, 7166, 2337

/ 100 compat

Projected

298.4 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5234, 7166, 2337

Auto

60.1 20%

Teleop

166.8 56%

Endgame

69.4 23%

Strengths

· 7166 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10978, 5982, 5436

/ 100 compat

Projected

143.1 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 10978, 5982, 5436

Auto

35.0 26%

Teleop

70.8 52%

Endgame

29.3 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.24 · Blue 0.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score298.4pts

Blue projected score143.1pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 155.3
Score range: 124–317
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 478 vs event baseline 106.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

566.5Season APEX271.1

60.1Auto35

166.8Teleop70.8

69.4Endgame29.3

2Consistency3

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	68	20
teleop	192	66
endgame	82	40
foul	0	10
total	342	136

Result

Final score

342 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 25.4 pts

Match videos

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