FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

111.86 – 137.15

42%58%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

169 – 176

Prediction correct · off by 48 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 289.7 ±11

3767TC Titans

Season APEX 116.7Event APEX 42.87Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3655Tractor Technicians

Season APEX 46.3Event APEX 29.72Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4422Twisted Angels

Season APEX 126.7Event APEX 39.27Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 271.1 ±11

10978Complete Robotics

Season APEX 83.3Event APEX 39.57Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5982Merrill's Circuits of Destruction

Season APEX 95.9Event APEX 35.02Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5436Cyber Cats

Season APEX 91.9Event APEX 62.56Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3767, 3655, 4422

/ 100 compat

Projected

111.9 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3767, 3655, 4422

Auto

24.3 22%

Teleop

67.3 62%

Endgame

17.6 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10978, 5982, 5436

/ 100 compat

Projected

137.2 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 10978, 5982, 5436

Auto

35.1 27%

Teleop

63.5 50%

Endgame

29.6 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.13 · Blue 1.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score111.9pts

Blue projected score137.2pts

Red win probability42%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -25.3
Score range: 93–156
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 345 vs event baseline 104.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

289.7Season APEX271.1

24.3Auto35.1

67.3Teleop63.5

17.6Endgame29.6

5Consistency5

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	35
teleop	70	103
endgame	58	33
foul	15	5
total	169	176

Result

Final score

169 – 176

Prediction correct · off by 48 pts

Match videos

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