FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

287.98 – 95.48

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

349 – 122

Prediction correct · off by 43.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 566.5 ±9.9

5234Marauder Bots

Season APEX 45.5Event APEX 13.25Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7166Red Thunder Robotics

Season APEX 273.7Event APEX 147.51Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2337EngiNERDs

Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 127.22Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 181.9 ±12.2

3688Norsemen

Season APEX 84Event APEX 40.28Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5110Roboherd

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 36.98Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7210RoboJackets 7210

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX 18.22Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5234, 7166, 2337

/ 100 compat

Projected

288 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5234, 7166, 2337

Auto

59.9 21%

Teleop

159.7 56%

Endgame

65.7 23%

Strengths

· 7166 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3688, 5110, 7210

/ 100 compat

Projected

95.5 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3688, 5110, 7210

Auto

22.5 25%

Teleop

35.8 40%

Endgame

30.8 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.33 · Blue 0.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score288pts

Blue projected score95.5pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 192.5
Score range: 77–306
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 471 vs event baseline 102.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

566.5Season APEX181.9

59.9Auto22.5

159.7Teleop35.8

65.7Endgame30.8

43Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	61	29
teleop	200	53
endgame	88	40
foul	0	0
total	349	122

Result

Final score

349 – 122

Prediction correct · off by 43.8 pts

Match videos

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