FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Playoff · Playoff Match 12 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

123.68 – 110.5

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

158 – 145

Prediction correct · off by 34.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 289.7 ±11

3767TC Titans

Season APEX 116.7Event APEX 46.43Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3655Tractor Technicians

Season APEX 46.3Event APEX 34.54Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4422Twisted Angels

Season APEX 126.7Event APEX 42.71Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 227.8 ±12.1

2405Techno Trojans

Season APEX 71.5Event APEX 31.93Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9661Huskie STEAM

Season APEX 66.7Event APEX 41.79Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9773Cardinal Robotics

Season APEX 89.6Event APEX 36.78Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3767, 3655, 4422

/ 100 compat

Projected

123.7 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3767, 3655, 4422

Auto

24.5 20%

Teleop

71.2 59%

Endgame

24.3 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2405, 9661, 9773

/ 100 compat

Projected

110.5 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 2405, 9661, 9773

Auto

33.2 31%

Teleop

47.9 44%

Endgame

27.1 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.37 · Blue 1.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score123.7pts

Blue projected score110.5pts

Red win probability54%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 13.2
Score range: 91–144
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 303 vs event baseline 110.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

289.7Season APEX227.8

24.5Auto33.2

71.2Teleop47.9

24.3Endgame27.1

13Consistency82

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	30
teleop	86	84
endgame	53	26
foul	0	5
total	158	145

Result

Final score

158 – 145

Prediction correct · off by 34.4 pts

Match videos

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